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This is a Non-Federal dataset covered by different Terms of Use than Data.gov.

Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050

Metadata Updated: February 21, 2025

The Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050, data set provides a baseline population distribution for 2010 and projections from 2020 to 2050, in ten-year increments, of population distribution and internal climate-related and other migration. The projections are produced using the NCAR-CIDR Spatial Population Downscaling Model developed by the CUNY Institute for Demographic Research (CIDR) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The model incorporates assumptions based on future development scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways or SSPs) and emissions trajectories (Representative Concentration Pathways or RCPs). The SSPs include SSP2, representing a middle-of-the road future, and SSP4, representing an unequal development future. Climate models using low and high emissions scenarios, RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, then drive climate impact models on crop productivity and water availability from the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP). Sea-level rise impacts in the coastal zone are estimated to be 1 meter under RCP2.6 and 2 meters under RCP8.5, to account for potential storm surge or coastal flooding. Three scenarios are generated, a pessimistic reference scenario combining SSP4 and RCP8.5, a more climate-friendly scenario combining SSP4 and RCP2.6, and a more inclusive development scenario combining SSP2 and RCP8.5, and each scenario represents an ensemble of four model runs combining different climate impact models. The modeling work was funded and developed jointly with The World Bank, and covers most World Bank client countries, with reports released in 2018 and 2021 that address different regions and provide full methodological details.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. Non-Federal: This dataset is covered by different Terms of Use than Data.gov. License: No license information was provided.

Downloads & Resources

References

https://doi.org/10.7927/2wn9-ww02

Dates

Metadata Created Date February 21, 2025
Metadata Updated Date February 21, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from nasa test json

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date February 21, 2025
Metadata Updated Date February 21, 2025
Publisher SEDAC
Maintainer
Identifier C2338359154-SEDAC
Data First Published 2010-01-01
Language en-US
Data Last Modified 2025-02-19
Category CLIMMIG, geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 026:00
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 3d155ded-4581-4269-a7f3-a0195591fdfb
Harvest Source Id a73e0c30-4684-40ef-908e-d22e9e9e5f86
Harvest Source Title nasa test json
Homepage URL https://doi.org/10.7927/c5kq-fb78
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial -180.0 -56.0 180.0 56.0
Program Code 026:001
Related Documents https://doi.org/10.7927/2wn9-ww02
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 40c549bf06ed70c623378392bb76359383f8291b4d501777521dbc39c0ce63fa
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial
Temporal 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z/2050-12-31T00:00:00Z

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