Skip to main content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

Skip to content
  • Feedback
    • This is a Non-Federal dataset covered by different Terms of Use than Data.gov.

    Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030

    Metadata Updated: February 22, 2025

    The Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030 presents spatially explicit probabilistic forecasts of global urban land cover change from 2000 to 2030 at a 2.5 arc-minute resolution. For each grid cell that is non-urban in 2000, a Monte-Carlo model assigned a probability of becoming urban by the year 2030. The authors first extracted urban extent circa 2000 from the NASA MODIS Land Cover Type Product Version 5, which provides a conservative estimate of global urban land cover. The authors then used population densities from the Global Rural-Urban Mapping Project, Version 1 (GRUMPv1) to create the population density driver map. They estimated the amount of new urban land in each United Nations region by 2030 in a Monte-Carlo fashion based on present empirical distribution of regional urban population densities and probability density functions of projected regional population and GDP values for 2030. To facilitate integration with other data products, CIESIN reprojected the data from Goode's Homolosine to Geographic WGS84 projection.

    Access & Use Information

    Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. Non-Federal: This dataset is covered by different Terms of Use than Data.gov. License: No license information was provided.

    Downloads & Resources

    References

    https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1211658109

    Dates

    Metadata Created Date February 22, 2025
    Metadata Updated Date February 22, 2025

    Metadata Source

    Harvested from nasa test json

    Other Data Resources

    Additional Metadata

    Resource Type Dataset
    Metadata Created Date February 22, 2025
    Metadata Updated Date February 22, 2025
    Publisher SEDAC
    Maintainer
    Identifier C1399902925-SEDAC
    Data First Published 2016-03-04
    Language en-US
    Data Last Modified 2025-02-19
    Category LULC, geospatial
    Public Access Level public
    Bureau Code 026:00
    Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
    Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
    Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
    Harvest Object Id 966aabed-e391-459e-bc00-9ed9411ca11a
    Harvest Source Id a73e0c30-4684-40ef-908e-d22e9e9e5f86
    Harvest Source Title nasa test json
    Homepage URL https://doi.org/10.7927/H4Z899CG
    Metadata Type geospatial
    Old Spatial -180.0 -90.0 180.0 90.0
    Program Code 026:001
    Related Documents https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1211658109
    Source Datajson Identifier True
    Source Hash 0231af90d1c7df57ebe6d555723fe9e5a92d5b4ddc45235e7fe3f0fcae5b42b0
    Source Schema Version 1.1
    Spatial
    Temporal 2000-01-01T00:00:00Z/2030-12-31T00:00:00Z

    Didn't find what you're looking for? Suggest a dataset here.